Veranstaltungen am Institut und mit Beteiligung des MPE


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The rationality of irrationality in the Monty Hall problem

abstract: The rational solution of the Monty Hall problem unsettles many people. Most people, including us, think it feels wrong to switch the initial choice of one of the three doors, despite having fully accepted the mathematical proof for its superiority. Many people, if given the choice to switch, think the chances are fifty-fifty between their options, but still strongly prefer to stick to their initial choice. Is there some ratio behind these irrational feelings? [mehr]

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